On the Psychology of Military Incompetence takes us through the past few centuries of British military catastrophes, outlining the failures of leadership that led to several humiliating defeats and unimaginable amounts of human suffering. More so it deconstructs the personality traits of the generals and speculates on the psychological basis of these traits with reference to psychoanalytic theory.
Some of the ineptitude borders on the unbelievable; General Melchert in Blackadder Goes Forth (Stephen Fry’s character) seems to be far more competent than the typical commander in the book. Unlike the writers of Blackadder, however, Dixon is by no means trying to make a caricature of the generals. On the contrary, he makes every effort to give them the benefit of the doubt: highlighting, for instance, that the British Navy’s continued reluctance to adopt innovations (like changing the hulls from wood to iron) saved the taxpayer great expense, albeit at the probable cost of many lives. Yet even the most ardent supporters of the military couldn’t deny the magnitude of some of the failures involved.
For that reason, the book often made me sad. The needless loss of life due to pure incompetence – the contrast between the bravery and self-sacrifice of the soldiers and the generals who blunder’d (The Charge of the Light Brigade). Dixon outlines how pride, jealousy, irrationality, and a lack of accountability combined to create unimaginable amounts of suffering. For instance, a complete lack of logistics in the Siege of Kut led to disease and mass starvation among the British troops.
Fortunately, Dixon balances out the bleakness with several classic one-liners:
- Of Lord Raglan in the Crimean War: “No one could accuse him of having a mind cluttered by any previous experience of command, for he had none.“
- Of Redvers Buller in the Boer War: “An aversion to reconnaissance, coupled with a dislike of intelligence (in both senses of the word)”
- Of the Navy: “When there was talk of iron replacing wood in the construction of ships one admiral was heard to remark that the idea was preposterous. Since iron was heavier than water the ships would be bound to sink!”
In Part 2, the book threads history with psychology, exploring both the individual complexes of the inept generals and the organisational psychology that leads to collective incompetence. He argues that military organisations select for the personality traits that create poor leaders (though the traits may be beneficial for common soldiers); specifically, the military selects for Authoritarian personality types. This leads to, among other things: an inability to accept contradicting information, an urge to be in a position of power, and overall poor decision-making.
The Fall of Singapore is one of the best case studies (though this is slightly biased by my upbringing); it is a clear example of the inadequacy of the “Bloody Fool Theory”, for General Percival was highly intelligent. Yet despite his IQ, he was comically inept, refusing to build North-facing defences because doing so would supposedly lower morale. Instead, he continued to fortify the sea-facing defences, leaving Singapore completely unprepared for a land invasion from – who could have guessed – the North.
The psychology angle of the book is fascinating, but it does remind me of the classic criticisms regarding the pseudoscientific nature of psychoanalysis. The author finds many examples that support his thesis and its contrapositive (i.e. incompetent authoritarians and competent non-authoritarians) but seems to allocate little effort to exploring exceptions. Nevertheless, I think the book is useful even if one does not accept all the psychoanalysis: the discussion of the common traits of bad generals is incisive, even if one places little weight on Dixon’s speculation regarding the psychoanalytic origins of such behaviours. For my part, I find the psychoanalytical arguments compelling, if not strong enough to be predictive.
Lastly, though lengthy, the book is a pleasure to read. It is beautifully English, dripping with dry wit and revelling in deliberate anglo-centrism. Nobody can criticise the British like the British!
Key ideas
- Core thesis:
- Military incompetence leads to disasters of a tragic scale
- The “Bloody Fool Theory” is inadequate – e.g General Percival (Fall of Singapore) was very intelligent
- Bad generals have Authoritarian personalities caused by childhood experience
- How military incompetence manifests:
- Pontificating: asserting the truth of something to reduce cognitive dissonance
- Conservatism and clinging to tradition; slow to adopt new technology
- Refusal to admit mistakes leads to an inability to learn from the past
- Anti-Bayesian decision-making: rejecting new information, persistence in the face of contrary evidence, reluctance to seek out new information (recon). This reduces cognitive dissonance.
- Underestimating the enemy, overestimating one’s own capabilities
- Indecisiveness at key junctures; a failure to press the advantage
- A failure to think creatively: overuse of frontal assaults, brute force
- Fear of failure:
- avoiding failure by not really trying (e.g Percival’s refusal to prepare defences)
- attempting tasks so hard that nobody expects you to succeed (e.g Townshend in Kut).
- fear of failure leads to avoidance of criticism
- Military organisations:
- Accentuate and select for psychological complexes that lead to poor generalship
- A big part of the army is controlling the impulses of its members, hence the need for bull/discipline.
- Emphasise conformity and the need for approval.
- Punishment rather than reward ⇒ exacerbates fear of failure and dampens achievement-need
- Generals become father figures, which abstracts them away from criticism
- Authoritarian personalities:
- the individual’s need to be loved breeds, on the one hand, an insatiable desire for admiration with avoidance of criticism, and, on the other, an equally devouring urge for power and positions of dominance
- Freudian interpretation: overly harsh toilet training at the Anal stage leads to a strong need for approval and suppression of impulses
- Good for soldiers, bad for generals: “because such people are threatened by the possible breakthrough of instinctual impulses they tend to be over-controlled, rigid and possessed of ‘closed’ as opposed to ‘open’ minds. They like to be governed by rules and abhor what is spontaneous, flexible or unusual. “
- They project their undesirable characteristics onto others (e.g Himmler’s persecution of sexual deviants)
- Characteristics of good generals:
- Need for achievement (n-ach): motivated by a need for professional excellence
- Attention to detail – insisting on personal recce
- Emphasis on logistics
- Filtering signal from noise: Napoleon and Montgomery had “The ability to pick out relevant facts from the general confusion”
- Calm rationality in the face of adversity: “He had to a degree above all other generals of his time that calm courage in the midst of tumult, that serenity of soul in danger, which the English call a cool head” - Lawrence of Arabia
- Combining emotional warmth with intellectual prowess
- Ability to overcome the constraints/philosophy of their system (Zhukov and Rommel)
- Case studies of bad generals:
- Lord Raglan in the Crimean War: chronically indecisive, complete inexperience
- Sir Redvers Buller in the Boer War: underestimating the enemy, bizarre codes of “honour”
- Elphinstone in The First Afghan War: unmoved by suffering, very selfish (received assurances from Akbar Khan)
- WWI: administration’s refusal to introduce tanks
- Townshend in the Siege of Kut: overambition in light of opposing evidence, complete lack of logistics, unmoved by suffering
- Percival in the Fall of Singapore: bizarre refusal to point guns North (fear of admitting the danger of the situation), despite his high intelligence.
Highlights
- Core thesis
- The task of a general
- Case studies
- Specific failure modes
- Military Organisations
- Psychoanalysis
- Authoritarian Personalities
- Achievement-need
- Good Generals
- Exceptions to the thesis
- Misc